Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1048.662364 1194.178177 1357.961314 1557.011746 1793.789035 2068.180537 2412.761564
2025-05-18 854.725639 1049.898940 1291.798478 1618.170615 2054.057101 2626.493679 3452.897197
2025-05-25 742.837288 956.035728 1236.720134 1641.956063 2226.950039 3065.420422 4406.101998
2025-06-01 655.647043 874.690593 1176.963348 1637.603102 2346.331554 3439.975930 5352.361757
2025-06-08 588.353350 808.440210 1124.246890 1628.030716 2447.051707 3796.437507 6357.748467
2025-06-15 546.036006 770.954809 1105.602460 1662.988757 2618.524471 4297.839842 7762.837112
2025-06-22 490.963816 707.509161 1038.666845 1608.855614 2627.763278 4513.283101 8680.144780
2025-06-29 446.560044 655.367000 982.662377 1563.464244 2641.839062 4736.510947 9681.998444
2025-07-06 407.107694 606.993505 927.114660 1510.496743 2631.335427 4906.470867 10618.766726
2025-07-13 392.513343 596.836423 932.964866 1566.437566 2837.983759 5571.561750 13024.385834
2025-07-20 373.069717 576.728274 919.468331 1584.266961 2970.506178 6106.404951 15324.684756
2025-07-27 357.196111 561.081533 911.866921 1611.781919 3127.663635 6738.676517 18221.334220
2025-08-03 339.986174 542.582601 898.917952 1630.471785 3277.536345 7418.121494 21744.331126
2025-08-10 330.009508 536.006776 907.344951 1694.635116 3547.736797 8509.276570 27523.651827
2025-08-17 316.090776 521.013848 898.141909 1719.914442 3729.889090 9419.210664 33360.545461
2025-08-24 300.026412 500.732420 876.656357 1715.292014 3836.134786 10142.438021 39052.854887
2025-08-31 284.855750 480.897103 854.108167 1705.151933 3926.247166 10850.586142 45404.935439
2025-09-07 275.799320 471.842884 852.201085 1742.191951 4153.663611 12115.393170 56313.411010
2025-09-14 258.372232 445.489571 812.603243 1684.839415 4101.929968 12366.226374 61424.973139
2025-09-21 243.245817 422.630376 778.458286 1636.769724 4069.209409 12685.047274 67507.585193
2025-09-28 228.592331 399.806580 742.675044 1580.701912 4002.870374 12855.873637 72861.537384
2025-10-05 224.886059 398.386121 752.305625 1639.917886 4307.097908 14689.893537 94949.374848
2025-10-12 218.047588 390.191934 746.524664 1658.797476 4487.782682 16089.752366 116562.998019